Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.132643 0.155618 0.180943 0.210869 0.245200 0.283288 0.328675
2025-11-16 0.091640 0.121652 0.158466 0.206647 0.267707 0.342143 0.439347
2025-11-23 0.067901 0.099062 0.140498 0.198994 0.278692 0.382619 0.527359
2025-11-30 0.058502 0.092064 0.139651 0.210938 0.313653 0.454652 0.660782
2025-12-07 0.046891 0.079229 0.127900 0.204903 0.321641 0.489461 0.745631
2025-12-14 0.038015 0.068618 0.117287 0.198219 0.326675 0.519118 0.824335
2025-12-21 0.031525 0.060530 0.109072 0.193572 0.333406 0.550830 0.907679
2025-12-28 0.027738 0.056305 0.106350 0.197071 0.352807 0.602932 1.025806
2026-01-04 0.025128 0.053698 0.105893 0.204070 0.378284 0.666345 1.166408
2026-01-11 0.022539 0.050644 0.104126 0.208368 0.399297 0.723843 1.301502
2026-01-18 0.020035 0.047301 0.101294 0.210233 0.415959 0.775043 1.429596
2026-01-25 0.017550 0.043536 0.097076 0.208853 0.426363 0.815950 1.542723
2026-02-01 0.015123 0.039515 0.091892 0.205169 0.432493 0.850542 1.648963
2026-02-08 0.013060 0.035939 0.087123 0.201737 0.438776 0.886011 1.759812
2026-02-15 0.011005 0.031956 0.080851 0.194302 0.436223 0.904641 1.840982
2026-02-22 0.010557 0.031922 0.083385 0.205996 0.473430 1.001201 2.073986
2026-03-01 0.009042 0.028779 0.078253 0.200090 0.473415 1.025676 2.171636
2026-03-08 0.007712 0.025848 0.073154 0.193548 0.471240 1.045455 2.261244
2026-03-15 0.006672 0.023509 0.069146 0.189000 0.472839 1.072743 2.367270
2026-03-22 0.006125 0.022531 0.068482 0.192425 0.492560 1.138678 2.555279
2026-03-29 0.005772 0.022087 0.069169 0.199274 0.520727 1.224262 2.788867
2026-04-05 0.005345 0.021313 0.068838 0.203481 0.543067 1.298929 3.004444
2026-04-12 0.004877 0.020290 0.067653 0.205307 0.559864 1.362693 3.200985